Vancouver Canucks at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-10-27 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 62.6%

VAN: 37.4%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.75

VAN: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

VAN

L. Meriläinen

Stat	ANA	VAN
Season SV%	0.888	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	33	27	6	81.8%	4.33	2	-1.67
VAN	L. Meriläinen	23	18	5	78.3%	2.94	4	-2.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • ANA at home vs VAN: 2-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	VAN 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-10-27	ANA 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	9	0	0.43
1	VAN	13	0	0.85
2	ANA	11	2	0.95
2	VAN	15	2	1.74
3	ANA	11	2	1.55
3	VAN	15	0	1.13
4	ANA	1	0	0.01
4	VAN	6	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0