Chicago Blackhawks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-10-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DET: 77.2%

CHI: 22.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.99

CHI: 2.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	DET	CHI
Season SV%	0.893	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.97	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	John Gibson	19	18	1	94.7%	1.59	0	0.59
CHI	Spencer Knight	31	27	4	87.1%	5.41	6	1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • DET at home vs CHI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	DET 4 - 1 CHI	DET	DET
2025-12-13	CHI 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-11-09	DET 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	DET
2025-01-10	DET 5 - 3 CHI	DET	DET
2024-11-06	CHI 1 - 4 DET	DET	CHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	1	1.47
1	CHI	11	0	0.58
2	DET	20	2	1.74
2	CHI	5	0	0.25
3	DET	15	3	2.20
3	CHI	16	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown