Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-10-29 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 79.8%

CBJ: 20.2%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.25

CBJ: 2.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	CAR	CBJ
Season SV%	0.899	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	26	24	2	92.3%	2.55	2	0.55
CBJ	Jet Greaves	27	24	3	88.9%	2.89	2	-0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	CAR 3 - 2 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	25	0	1.59
1	CBJ	10	1	0.52
2	CAR	6	1	0.37
2	CBJ	10	1	0.90
3	CAR	9	1	0.93
3	CBJ	18	0	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown