New York Islanders at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-10-29 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 45.7%

NYI: 54.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.07

NYI: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Stat	MIN	NYI
Season SV%	0.928	0.910
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	2.55

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	26	22	4	84.6%	2.76	1	-1.24
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	25	22	3	88.0%	2.24	1	-0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs NYI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2026-01-10	MIN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MIN
2025-11-07	NYI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	NYI
2025-04-04	NYI 3 - 1 MIN	NYI	NYI
2025-02-08	MIN 6 - 3 NYI	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	1	0.95
1	NYI	15	0	0.79
2	MIN	9	0	0.30
2	NYI	13	1	0.97
3	MIN	15	0	0.92
3	NYI	13	0	0.86
4	MIN	1	0	0.06
4	NYI	2	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3