Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-10-29 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 7 Buffalo Sabres

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 43.7%

BUF: 56.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.14

BUF: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

BUF

Colten Ellis - 4-3-0 | 0.895 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	ANA	BUF
Season SV%	0.884	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.25	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Ville Husso	31	24	7	77.4%	4.84	5	-2.16
BUF	Colten Ellis	35	29	6	82.9%	4.27	4	-1.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ANA at home vs BUF: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	ANA 6 - 7 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-22	ANA 6 - 5 BUF	ANA	ANA
2026-01-10	BUF 5 - 3 ANA	BUF	BUF
2025-02-25	BUF 3 - 2 ANA	BUF	BUF
2024-11-22	ANA 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	2	2.03
1	BUF	12	1	1.15
2	ANA	10	1	0.65
2	BUF	25	1	2.11
3	ANA	21	1	1.59
3	BUF	8	3	1.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown