Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-10-29 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Ottawa Senators (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 52.0%

OTT: 48.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.14

OTT: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

OTT

J. Johansson

Stat	LAK	OTT
Season SV%	0.913	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	22	17	5	77.3%	2.35	2	-2.65
OTT	J. Johansson	38	32	6	84.2%	4.65	4	-1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs OTT: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	LAK 6 - 5 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	LAK
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	3	1.51
1	OTT	13	0	0.87
2	LAK	24	1	2.17
2	OTT	4	0	0.17
3	LAK	11	0	0.66
3	OTT	14	2	1.08
4	LAK	5	0	0.30
4	OTT	2	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 6 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0