Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-10-29 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SJS: 58.5%

VAN: 41.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.46

VAN: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

VAN

L. Meriläinen

Stat	SJS	VAN
Season SV%	0.896	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.36	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	25	23	2	92.0%	2.78	3	0.78
VAN	L. Meriläinen	24	21	3	87.5%	2.91	1	-0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs VAN: 3-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-29	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	SJS
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	VAN
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	10	0	0.79
1	VAN	17	2	1.46
2	SJS	11	0	0.72
2	VAN	8	1	0.53
3	SJS	15	1	1.41
3	VAN	10	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown