New Jersey Devils at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-10-30 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 New Jersey Devils

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 45.8%

NJD: 54.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.09

NJD: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

NJD

C. Hellebuyck

Stat	VGK	NJD
Season SV%	0.888	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.73	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	32	27	5	84.4%	2.60	1	-2.40
NJD	C. Hellebuyck	21	19	2	90.5%	1.88	0	-0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • VGK at home vs NJD: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-30	VGK 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-17	VGK 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	VGK
2025-12-05	NJD 0 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-02	VGK 2 - 0 NJD	VGK	VGK
2025-02-06	NJD 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.76
1	NJD	10	0	0.45
2	VGK	11	0	0.51
2	NJD	18	0	1.22
3	VGK	8	0	0.60
3	NJD	17	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown