Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-10-30 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 77.8%

WPG: 22.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.99

WPG: 2.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

A. Schmid

WPG

N. Daws

Stat	FLA	WPG
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	A. Schmid	24	22	2	91.7%	2.18	1	0.18
WPG	N. Daws	38	33	5	86.8%	4.41	4	-0.59

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • FLA at home vs WPG: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-30	FLA 5 - 2 WPG	FLA	FLA
2026-10-27	WPG 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	1	1.09
1	WPG	10	0	0.44
2	FLA	11	0	0.82
2	WPG	14	1	1.36
3	FLA	23	3	2.50
3	WPG	8	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown