Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-10-30 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CGY: 58.7%

SEA: 41.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.33

SEA: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	CGY	SEA
Season SV%	0.901	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.82	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dustin Wolf	22	20	2	90.9%	2.43	2	0.43
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	21	6	77.8%	2.08	0	-3.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-04	SEA 2 - 1 CGY	SEA	CGY
2026-10-30	CGY 6 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2026-10-04	SEA 6 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-10-01	CGY 1 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	10	0	0.41
1	SEA	13	2	1.61
2	CGY	16	0	0.86
2	SEA	11	0	0.44
3	CGY	13	0	0.81
3	SEA	8	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown