Chicago Blackhawks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-10-31 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 83.0%

CHI: 17.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.30

CHI: 2.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Michael DiPietro - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Stat	BOS	CHI
Season SV%	0.000	0.873
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	0.00	4.02

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Michael DiPietro	41	37	4	90.2%	3.95	2	-0.05
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	32	27	5	84.4%	3.66	3	-1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • BOS at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-31	BOS 5 - 4 CHI	BOS	BOS
2026-01-17	CHI 2 - 5 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-10-09	BOS 4 - 3 CHI	BOS	BOS
2025-04-10	BOS 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	BOS
2024-12-04	CHI 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	CHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	2	1.01
1	CHI	19	1	1.26
2	BOS	14	0	0.71
2	CHI	18	0	1.15
3	BOS	22	0	1.50
3	CHI	16	1	1.14
4	BOS	3	1	0.44
4	CHI	4	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 83.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.3 - 2.1