Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-10-31 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 52.3%

BUF: 47.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.10

BUF: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 7-5-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.46 GAA

Stat	LAK	BUF
Season SV%	0.901	0.903
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.46

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	31	28	3	90.3%	2.50	1	-0.50
BUF	Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen	29	27	2	93.1%	4.21	3	2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • LAK at home vs BUF: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-31	LAK 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	BUF

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.52
1	BUF	16	0	0.67
2	LAK	24	2	2.56
2	BUF	13	0	0.77
3	LAK	14	1	1.13
3	BUF	12	1	1.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown