Columbus Blue Jackets at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-10-31 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

DAL: 67.1%

CBJ: 32.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.67

CBJ: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	DAL	CBJ
Season SV%	0.907	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.57	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	25	24	1	96.0%	2.43	1	1.43
CBJ	Jet Greaves	17	14	3	82.4%	3.14	6	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs CBJ: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-05	CBJ 2 - 1 DAL	CBJ	DAL
2026-10-31	DAL 3 - 1 CBJ	DAL	DAL
2026-01-22	CBJ 1 - 0 DAL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-10-21	DAL 1 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-25	CBJ 6 - 4 DAL	CBJ	DAL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	3	1.49
1	CBJ	11	0	0.71
2	DAL	7	1	0.49
2	CBJ	12	0	0.90
3	DAL	6	2	1.16
3	CBJ	14	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown