Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-11-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 55.1%

OTT: 44.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.11

OTT: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

L. Brossoit

OTT

J. Johansson

Stat	ANA	OTT
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	L. Brossoit	22	19	3	86.4%	2.94	2	-0.06
OTT	J. Johansson	33	27	6	81.8%	2.70	1	-3.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • ANA at home vs OTT: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-01	ANA 6 - 3 OTT	ANA	ANA
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	12	0	0.36
1	OTT	8	2	1.07
2	ANA	15	1	1.11
2	OTT	11	0	0.75
3	ANA	15	0	1.23
3	OTT	13	0	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown