Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-11-02 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 52.4%

DET: 47.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.01

DET: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

J. Markstrom

DET

D. Tarasov

Stat	FLA	DET
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	J. Markstrom	29	24	5	82.8%	3.95	3	-1.05
DET	D. Tarasov	26	23	3	88.5%	3.94	3	0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • FLA at home vs DET: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-02	FLA 3 - 5 DET	DET	FLA
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	21	2	1.98
1	DET	10	0	0.50
2	FLA	14	0	0.81
2	DET	16	0	1.62
3	FLA	16	1	1.15
3	DET	11	3	1.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown