Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-11-02 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 24.4%

COL: 75.6%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.27

COL: 3.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

COL

Mackenzie Blackwood - 13-1-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.07 GAA

Stat	CHI	COL
Season SV%	0.909	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	2.07

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	29	24	5	82.8%	3.61	4	-1.39
COL	Mackenzie Blackwood	23	21	2	91.3%	2.39	0	0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • CHI at home vs COL: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-02	CHI 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-20	CHI 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-02-28	COL 3 - 1 CHI	COL	COL
2025-11-23	CHI 0 - 1 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-02	CHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	10	0	0.52
1	COL	24	2	1.96
2	CHI	17	0	1.10
2	COL	17	1	1.04
3	CHI	14	0	0.77
3	COL	6	1	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown