Edmonton Oilers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-11-03 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 72.9%

EDM: 27.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.68

EDM: 2.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

C. Hellebuyck

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 12-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Stat	NJD	EDM
Season SV%	—	0.906
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.73

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	C. Hellebuyck	24	20	4	83.3%	2.88	2	-1.12
EDM	Tristan Jarry	38	33	5	86.8%	5.03	4	0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs EDM: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	NJD 4 - 3 EDM	NJD	NJD
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.70
1	EDM	13	0	0.63
2	NJD	25	2	1.63
2	EDM	5	0	0.18
3	NJD	12	0	0.45
3	EDM	11	0	0.47
4	NJD	4	0	0.33
4	EDM	4	1	0.49
5	NJD	4	2	1.93
5	EDM	4	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.3