St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-11-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYR: 53.3%

STL: 46.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.35

STL: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYR

Dylan Garand - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	NYR	STL
Season SV%	0.000	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	0.00	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Dylan Garand	33	32	1	97.0%	2.78	0	1.78
STL	Joel Hofer	31	28	3	90.3%	4.26	4	1.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYR at home vs STL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	NYR 3 - 1 STL	NYR	NYR
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	STL
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	1	1.06
1	STL	15	0	1.10
2	NYR	19	2	1.72
2	STL	14	0	1.07
3	NYR	11	1	1.48
3	STL	15	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown