Minnesota Wild at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-11-03 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 39.5%

MIN: 60.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.69

MIN: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

Stat	PHI	MIN
Season SV%	0.910	0.928
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.21

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	22	18	4	81.8%	2.84	4	-1.16
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	25	23	2	92.0%	3.08	1	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • PHI at home vs MIN: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	PHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-03-12	MIN 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	MIN
2025-10-18	PHI 2 - 1 MIN	PHI	PHI
2024-12-14	MIN 4 - 1 PHI	MIN	MIN
2024-10-26	PHI 7 - 5 MIN	PHI	PHI

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	17	0	1.15
1	MIN	15	0	0.88
2	PHI	10	0	0.54
2	MIN	11	2	0.96
3	PHI	20	1	1.39
3	MIN	8	2	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown