Colorado Avalanche at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-11-03 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 7 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 51.2%

COL: 48.8%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.12

COL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

C. Talbot

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	CBJ	COL
Season SV%	—	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	C. Talbot	29	27	2	93.1%	3.20	2	1.20
COL	Scott Wedgewood	24	17	7	70.8%	3.84	5	-3.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CBJ at home vs COL: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	CBJ 7 - 2 COL	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-10	COL 4 - 0 CBJ	COL	COL
2025-10-16	CBJ 1 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2025-04-03	CBJ 3 - 7 COL	COL	COL
2024-10-12	COL 4 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	11	1	1.03
1	COL	15	0	0.77
2	CBJ	11	1	1.27
2	COL	17	2	1.62
3	CBJ	14	3	1.54
3	COL	15	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown