Carolina Hurricanes at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-11-03 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (64% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 36.0%

CAR: 64.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.70

CAR: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Stat	NSH	CAR
Season SV%	0.897	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.33

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	29	1	96.7%	3.68	3	2.68
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	20	16	4	80.0%	3.74	2	-0.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs CAR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	NSH 4 - 1 CAR	NSH	CAR
2025-12-17	NSH 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-06	CAR 6 - 3 NSH	CAR	CAR
2025-03-25	CAR 1 - 3 NSH	NSH	CAR
2024-12-23	NSH 5 - 2 CAR	NSH	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	8	0	0.43
1	CAR	18	1	1.57
2	NSH	13	1	1.46
2	CAR	18	2	1.76
3	NSH	14	1	1.85
3	CAR	14	0	0.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown