Anaheim Ducks at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-11-03 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 52.3%

ANA: 47.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.25

ANA: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

ANA

L. Brossoit

Stat	VAN	ANA
Season SV%	0.885	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	22	17	5	77.3%	2.55	2	-2.45
ANA	L. Brossoit	23	19	4	82.6%	2.53	1	-1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • VAN at home vs ANA: 7-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-03	VAN 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-10-27	ANA 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-04-12	ANA 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	ANA
2026-03-24	VAN 3 - 5 ANA	ANA	VAN
2026-01-29	VAN 2 - 0 ANA	VAN	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	0	0.95
1	ANA	17	1	1.04
2	VAN	10	1	0.62
2	ANA	12	0	0.80
3	VAN	13	0	0.96
3	ANA	9	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown