Chicago Blackhawks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-11-04 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 80.5%

CHI: 19.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.12

CHI: 2.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

J. Markstrom

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	FLA	CHI
Season SV%	—	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	J. Markstrom	20	17	3	85.0%	1.79	1	-1.21
CHI	Spencer Knight	30	25	5	83.3%	4.10	3	-0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs CHI: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-04	FLA 5 - 3 CHI	FLA	FLA
2026-10-25	CHI 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2026-01-25	CHI 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	CHI
2025-10-07	FLA 3 - 2 CHI	FLA	FLA
2025-02-01	FLA 5 - 1 CHI	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	16	0	0.83
1	CHI	9	1	0.54
2	FLA	14	2	1.44
2	CHI	12	0	0.64
3	FLA	15	1	1.82
3	CHI	9	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown