San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-11-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 7 - 2 San Jose Sharks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 68.9%

SJS: 31.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.81

SJS: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	LAK	SJS
Season SV%	0.913	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	32	30	2	93.8%	2.53	0	0.53
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	27	20	7	74.1%	3.79	2	-3.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • LAK at home vs SJS: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-04	LAK 7 - 2 SJS	LAK	LAK
2026-10-03	SJS 5 - 4 LAK	SJS	LAK
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	2	1.87
1	SJS	17	0	1.04
2	LAK	13	0	0.92
2	SJS	14	0	0.61
3	LAK	12	0	0.99
3	SJS	16	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown