St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-11-05 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 64.1%

STL: 35.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.37

STL: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

C. Hellebuyck

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Stat	NJD	STL
Season SV%	—	0.869
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	3.56

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	C. Hellebuyck	32	28	4	87.5%	3.39	1	-0.61
STL	Jordan Binnington	36	31	5	86.1%	3.85	0	-1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs STL: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-05	NJD 5 - 4 STL	NJD	NJD
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	18	0	1.25
1	STL	8	0	0.40
2	NJD	15	0	1.16
2	STL	19	0	1.75
3	NJD	14	0	1.25
3	STL	15	1	1.19
4	NJD	1	0	0.19
4	STL	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.5