Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-11-05 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 64.4%

VAN: 35.6%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.45

VAN: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

S. Skinner

VAN

L. Meriläinen

Stat	WPG	VAN
Season SV%	—	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	—	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	S. Skinner	26	24	2	92.3%	1.74	0	-0.26
VAN	L. Meriläinen	29	23	6	79.3%	3.25	2	-2.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • WPG at home vs VAN: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-05	WPG 6 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	1	1.22
1	VAN	8	0	0.35
2	WPG	14	1	1.33
2	VAN	13	0	0.64
3	WPG	14	0	0.70
3	VAN	16	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown