San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-11-06 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 San Jose Sharks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 61.4%

SJS: 38.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.18

SJS: 2.53

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Stat	MIN	SJS
Season SV%	0.928	0.896
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	3.36

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	24	23	1	95.8%	2.00	1	1.00
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	29	25	4	86.2%	3.34	2	-0.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • MIN at home vs SJS: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-11-06	MIN 4 - 1 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	0	1.02
1	SJS	14	1	1.05
2	MIN	12	2	0.91
2	SJS	13	0	0.57
3	MIN	20	0	1.41
3	SJS	9	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown