Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-11-07 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 43.7%
MTL: 56.3%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.04
MTL: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | TOR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.935 | 0.940 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • TOR at home vs MTL: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | MTL 3 - 1 TOR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-06 | TOR 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-11-22 | MTL 5 - 2 TOR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-08 | TOR 5 - 2 MTL | TOR | MTL |
| 2025-04-12 | TOR 1 - 0 MTL | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-07 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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