Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-11-07 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 51.5%
MTL: 48.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.08
MTL: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA
MTL
Jacob Fowler - 7-1-1 | 0.925 SV% | 2.17 GAA
| Stat | TOR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.904 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.938 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | — |
| GAA | 3.27 | 2.64 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • TOR at home vs MTL: 8-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | TOR 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2026-03-10 | MTL 3 - 1 TOR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-06 | TOR 1 - 2 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-11-22 | MTL 5 - 2 TOR | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-10-08 | TOR 5 - 2 MTL | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-07 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.