Colorado Avalanche at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-11-10 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 47.5%
COL: 52.5%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.31
COL: 3.46
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood - 8-3-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.81 GAA
| Stat | TOR | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.924 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.893 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.773 |
| GAA | 3.27 | 2.07 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • TOR at home vs COL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | COL 3 - 6 TOR | TOR | COL |
| 2026-01-25 | TOR 1 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-12 | COL 3 - 4 TOR | TOR | COL |
| 2025-03-19 | TOR 2 - 1 COL | TOR | COL |
| 2025-03-08 | COL 7 - 4 TOR | COL | COL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-10 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.