Washington Capitals at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-11-10 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 51.8%
WSH: 48.2%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.46
WSH: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Samuel Ersson - 2-3-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.33 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 5-4-0 | 0.887 SV% | 3.22 GAA
| Stat | OTT | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.880 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.33 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • OTT at home vs WSH: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-18 | WSH 4 - 1 OTT | WSH | OTT |
| 2026-01-01 | OTT 4 - 3 WSH | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-25 | WSH 1 - 7 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-03 | WSH 5 - 4 OTT | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-30 | OTT 5 - 4 WSH | OTT | OTT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-10 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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