Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-11-12 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators vs Colorado Avalanche @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 52.7%
COL: 47.3%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.25
COL: 3.08
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Samuel Ersson - 2-3-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.33 GAA
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood - 8-3-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.81 GAA
| Stat | OTT | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.880 | 0.924 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.893 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.33 | 2.07 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs COL: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5 - 2 COL | OTT | COL |
| 2026-01-08 | COL 8 - 2 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-20 | OTT 1 - 5 COL | COL | OTT |
| 2024-10-27 | COL 5 - 4 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-16 | OTT 4 - 7 COL | COL | OTT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-12 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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