Edmonton Oilers at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-11-14 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TOR: 51.8%

EDM: 48.2%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.23

EDM: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 49%

TOR

Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 4-1-3 | 0.898 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • TOR at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-24	EDM 2 - 7 TOR	TOR	TOR
2026-02-03	EDM 2 - 5 TOR	TOR	EDM
2025-12-13	TOR 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-02-01	EDM 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	EDM
2024-11-16	TOR 4 - 3 EDM	TOR	EDM

This game is scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.