Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-11-14 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 59.2%
DET: 40.8%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.43
DET: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 4-5-1 | 0.860 SV% | 3.46 GAA
| Stat | TBL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.831 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.846 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • TBL at home vs DET: 6-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | TBL 4 - 2 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-04-13 | TBL 4 - 3 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-03-12 | TBL 4 - 1 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2 - 1 TBL | DET | DET |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-14 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.