Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2026-11-16 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers vs Montreal Canadiens @ 7:30 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 52.9%
MTL: 47.1%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.21
MTL: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Dylan Garand - 6-6-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.52 GAA
MTL
Jacob Fowler - 7-1-1 | 0.925 SV% | 2.17 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.000 | 0.904 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.892 | 0.938 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 0.00 | 2.64 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs MTL: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | NYR 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5 - 4 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-18 | MTL 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | MTL |
| 2025-01-19 | MTL 5 - 4 NYR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-11-30 | NYR 4 - 3 MTL | NYR | NYR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-16 at 7:30 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.