Edmonton Oilers at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-11-19 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:30 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 64.8%

EDM: 35.2%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.70

EDM: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 4-1-3 | 0.898 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TBL at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	EDM 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-20	TBL 2 - 1 EDM	TBL	TBL
2025-02-25	TBL 4 - 1 EDM	TBL	EDM
2024-12-10	EDM 2 - 1 TBL	EDM	EDM
2023-12-14	EDM 4 - 7 TBL	TBL	EDM

This game is scheduled for 2026-11-19 at 7:30 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.