Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-11-22 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres @ 5:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 70.3%

BUF: 29.7%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.83

BUF: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA

BUF

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 5-3-3 | 0.878 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • TBL at home vs BUF: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	BUF 4 - 2 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-03-08	BUF 8 - 7 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-02-28	TBL 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	TBL
2026-02-03	TBL 4 - 3 BUF	TBL	TBL
2025-04-13	TBL 7 - 4 BUF	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-11-22 at 5:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.