Buffalo Sabres at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-11-22 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres @ 5:00 PM EST

Win Probability

TBL: 54.6%

BUF: 45.4%

Expected Goals

TBL: 2.29

BUF: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TBL at home vs BUF: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	BUF 4 - 2 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-03-08	BUF 8 - 7 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-02-28	TBL 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	TBL
2026-02-03	TBL 4 - 3 BUF	TBL	TBL
2025-04-13	TBL 7 - 4 BUF	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-11-22 at 5:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.