Calgary Flames at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-11-23 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators vs Calgary Flames @ 7:30 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 61.3%
CGY: 38.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.49
CGY: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Samuel Ersson - 2-3-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.33 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 3-5-1 | 0.869 SV% | 3.75 GAA
| Stat | OTT | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.880 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.907 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.33 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • OTT at home vs CGY: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | CGY 1 - 4 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-10-30 | OTT 4 - 3 CGY | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-19 | CGY 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-25 | OTT 4 - 3 CGY | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-01-09 | CGY 6 - 3 OTT | CGY | CGY |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-23 at 7:30 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.