Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-11-23 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:30 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 57.5%
TOR: 42.5%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.48
TOR: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 6-4-0 | 0.911 SV% | 2.41 GAA
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA
| Stat | NYI | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.945 | 0.842 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NYI at home vs TOR: 5-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | TOR 1 - 4 NYI | NYI | TOR |
| 2026-09-30 | TOR 2 - 1 NYI | TOR | TOR |
| 2026-04-09 | NYI 5 - 3 TOR | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-03-17 | TOR 1 - 3 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-01-03 | NYI 4 - 3 TOR | NYI | NYI |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-23 at 7:30 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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