Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-11-25 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 47.6%
CAR: 52.4%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.16
CAR: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
CAR
Pyotr Kochetkov - 10-1-0 | 0.922 SV% | 1.64 GAA
| Stat | TBL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.899 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.946 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • TBL at home vs CAR: 4-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | TBL |
| 2026-02-26 | CAR 5 - 4 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-20 | TBL 6 - 4 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-11 | CAR 4 - 1 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3 - 2 CAR | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-25 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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