Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-11-27 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Ottawa Senators @ 3:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 54.7%
OTT: 45.3%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.52
OTT: 3.22
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
OTT
Samuel Ersson - 2-3-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.33 GAA
| Stat | TBL | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.880 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TBL at home vs OTT: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | OTT 6 - 2 TBL | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-03-28 | TBL 4 - 2 OTT | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-09 | TBL 4 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-04-03 | OTT 2 - 1 TBL | OTT | TBL |
| 2025-02-06 | TBL 5 - 1 OTT | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-11-27 at 3:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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