Tampa Bay Lightning at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-12-05 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

OTT: 42.0%

TBL: 58.0%

Expected Goals

OTT: 1.26

TBL: 4.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • OTT at home vs TBL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	OTT 6 - 2 TBL	OTT	OTT
2026-03-28	TBL 4 - 2 OTT	TBL	OTT
2025-10-09	TBL 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-03	OTT 2 - 1 TBL	OTT	TBL
2025-02-06	TBL 5 - 1 OTT	TBL	TBL

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-05 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.