Toronto Maple Leafs at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-12-09 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 6:30 PM CST

Win Probability

DAL: 57.3%

TOR: 42.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.40

TOR: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 48%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 8-3-1 | 0.909 SV% | 1.91 GAA

TOR

Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • DAL at home vs TOR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	TOR 5 - 6 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-21	DAL 5 - 1 TOR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-14	TOR 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-12-18	DAL 3 - 5 TOR	TOR	DAL
2024-02-07	TOR 5 - 4 DAL	TOR	TOR

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-09 at 6:30 PM CST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.