Pittsburgh Penguins at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-12-12 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins @ 3:30 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 58.4%
PIT: 41.6%
Expected Goals
TBL: 3.69
PIT: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
PIT
Arturs Silovs - 5-5-1 | 0.876 SV% | 3.26 GAA
| Stat | TBL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.886 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.20 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • TBL at home vs PIT: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | TBL 6 - 3 PIT | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-01-13 | PIT 1 - 2 TBL | TBL | PIT |
| 2025-12-04 | TBL 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | TBL |
| 2025-03-25 | TBL 6 - 1 PIT | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-01-12 | PIT 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-12 at 3:30 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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