Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-12-12 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 36.7%
VGK: 63.3%
Expected Goals
TOR: 1.93
VGK: 3.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Anthony Stolarz - 10-10-3 | 0.893 SV% | 3.28 GAA
VGK
Adin Hill - 10-9-6 | 0.871 SV% | 3.04 GAA
| Stat | TOR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.905 | 0.875 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 3.51 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • TOR at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-23 | TOR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
| 2026-01-15 | VGK 6 - 5 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-05 | VGK 5 - 2 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-20 | TOR 3 - 0 VGK | TOR | VGK |
| 2024-02-27 | TOR 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-12 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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