Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-12-12 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Vegas Golden Knights @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 44.3%
VGK: 55.7%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.08
VGK: 3.42
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA
VGK
Carter Hart - 5-3-2 | 0.900 SV% | 2.49 GAA
| Stat | TOR | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.883 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | — |
| GAA | 3.27 | 3.18 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TOR at home vs VGK: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | VGK 4 - 3 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-01-23 | TOR 3 - 6 VGK | VGK | TOR |
| 2026-01-15 | VGK 6 - 5 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-05 | VGK 5 - 2 TOR | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-20 | TOR 3 - 0 VGK | TOR | TOR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-12 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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