Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-12-12 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 46.1%
EDM: 53.9%
Expected Goals
OTT: 1.82
EDM: 3.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | OTT | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | EDM 5 - 4 OTT | EDM | OTT |
| 2025-10-21 | OTT 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-22 | EDM 3 - 1 OTT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-19 | OTT 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | OTT |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5 - 3 EDM | OTT | OTT |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-12 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.