Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-12-12 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche vs Washington Capitals @ 7:00 PM MST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 55.7%
WSH: 44.3%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.48
WSH: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Mackenzie Blackwood - 8-3-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.81 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 5-4-0 | 0.887 SV% | 3.22 GAA
| Stat | COL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.924 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.893 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.07 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • COL at home vs WSH: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | WSH 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-19 | COL 5 - 2 WSH | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-21 | WSH 1 - 2 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-15 | COL 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | COL |
| 2024-02-13 | WSH 3 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-12 at 7:00 PM MST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.