Calgary Flames at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-12-15 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Calgary Flames @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 54.7%
CGY: 45.3%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.32
CGY: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen - 5-3-3 | 0.878 SV% | 3.27 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 3-5-1 | 0.869 SV% | 3.75 GAA
| Stat | BUF | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.900 | 0.907 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.46 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs CGY: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-08 | CGY 7 - 4 BUF | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-11-19 | BUF 2 - 6 CGY | CGY | BUF |
| 2025-01-23 | CGY 5 - 2 BUF | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-09 | BUF 3 - 2 CGY | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-03-24 | CGY 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | BUF |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-15 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Get NHL forecasts in your inbox
Occasional emails with NHL forecasts, analysis, and model updates.