Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-12-20 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 5:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 56.1%
TBL: 43.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.48
TBL: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 4-5-1 | 0.860 SV% | 3.46 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
| Stat | DET | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.831 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.846 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DET at home vs TBL: 5-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | TBL 4 - 2 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-04-13 | TBL 4 - 3 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-03-12 | TBL 4 - 1 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2 - 1 TBL | DET | DET |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-20 at 5:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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