Tampa Bay Lightning at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-12-20 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 5:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 33.9%
TBL: 66.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.21
TBL: 4.37
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | DET | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.927 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • DET at home vs TBL: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | TBL 4 - 3 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-03-12 | TBL 4 - 1 DET | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2 - 1 TBL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-11 | TBL 3 - 4 DET | DET | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-20 at 5:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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