St. Louis Blues at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-12-22 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 72.1%
STL: 27.9%
Expected Goals
TBL: 4.04
STL: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 8-3-1 | 0.887 SV% | 2.75 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 6-4-1 | 0.918 SV% | 2.39 GAA
| Stat | TBL | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.916 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • TBL at home vs STL: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | STL 3 - 2 TBL | STL | TBL |
| 2025-12-22 | TBL 4 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-19 | TBL 3 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-05 | STL 3 - 2 TBL | STL | TBL |
| 2023-12-19 | TBL 6 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-12-22 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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