Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-12-22 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs @ 7:00 PM EST

Win Probability

DET: 61.5%

TOR: 38.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.58

TOR: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 50%

DET

John Gibson - 4-5-1 | 0.860 SV% | 3.46 GAA

TOR

Sergei Bobrovsky - 3-6-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • DET at home vs TOR: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	TOR 1 - 2 DET	DET	DET
2025-12-28	DET 3 - 2 TOR	DET	DET
2025-10-13	TOR 2 - 3 DET	DET	DET
2025-10-11	DET 6 - 3 TOR	DET	DET
2025-04-17	TOR 4 - 3 DET	TOR	TOR

This game is scheduled for 2026-12-22 at 7:00 PM EST.

Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.